Hansa Rostock 2-0 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.92
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
4%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.91
X/2
15%
6.73
X/X
18%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
24.0
2/2
11%
4.54
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 14% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.79/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.7 Crosses 17.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 1.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
239 Passes 304
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
26.08.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 1-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
03.05.2019 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-2 HT 1-2 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
03.12.2018 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
31.03.2018 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
20.10.2017 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
2-0
AWAY Osnabrück
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
360 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock beat Osnabrück 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Hansa Rostock made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 57% of the ball to Osnabrück's 43%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hansa Rostock and 0.67 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Osnabrück?

Hansa Rostock 2-0 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 40%, draw 29%, Osnabrück 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hansa Rostock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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