Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Nov 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
4-0 HT 2-0
Energie Cottbus
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.45
2-3 Goals
45%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.63
X/2
9%
5.96
X/X
11%
6.1
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
18%
3.5
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.8pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Energie Cottbus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.39/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.72
-9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +90%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.7 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
04.08.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
09.09.2006 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
19.08.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
18.02.2005 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
19.09.2004 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-2 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 Energie Cottbus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
4-0
AWAY Energie Cottbus
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
166 Passes 528
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen swept aside Energie Cottbus 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rot-Weiss Essen found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 29% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 71%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.00 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus?

Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 39%, draw 26%, Energie Cottbus 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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