Auckland 1-1 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.21
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
13%
4.08
X/2
10%
9.64
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
12%
24.45
2/2
9%
8.09
2/X
5%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.75/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.61
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
24.6 Crosses 18.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auckland
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.16 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
324 Passes 433
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-2 HT 0-1 Auckland Auckland AVUS
19.10.2024 Auckland Auckland 2-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland
1-1
AWAY Brisbane Roar
0.97 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
217 Passes 322
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auckland vs Brisbane Roar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland and Brisbane Roar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Auckland at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Auckland had 43% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 57%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Auckland had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Auckland and 0.00 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Auckland vs Brisbane Roar?

Auckland 1-1 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Auckland 54%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Auckland), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auckland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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