Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-2
HT 1-1
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
2-2
HT 1-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
Newcastle Jets 1-2 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Perth Glory squeezed past Newcastle Jets 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 64% of the ball to Perth Glory's 36%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.59 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.67 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory?
Newcastle Jets 1-2 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 51%, draw 23%, Perth Glory 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets) went the other way.