Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
20%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
14%
4.81
X/2
8%
9.24
X/X
14%
6.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.8
2/2
8%
6.18
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
2.13/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.76
-20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
31.5 Crosses 18.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Perth Glory
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
446 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
09.03.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
16.12.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
22.10.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
18.03.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
04.02.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets
2-2
AWAY Perth Glory
2.68 xG 2.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
473 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets and Perth Glory shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Newcastle Jets had 58% of the ball to Perth Glory's 42%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.68 to 2.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.67 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory?

Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 51%, draw 28%, Perth Glory 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUS More Australia - A-League
25 Jan 2025
07:00 Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Analysis →
11:35 Macarthur vs Melbourne City Analysis →