Perth Glory 0-4 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 14 Dec 2024

Perth Glory
0-4 HT 0-3
Newcastle Jets
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.77
1/2
9%
24.3
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
9%
6.26
X/2
15%
5.66
X/X
7%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.27
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.0pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -18%
1.48/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.35
+21% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
21.6 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.51 xG 1.37
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
297 Passes 404
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
16.12.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
22.10.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
18.03.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
04.02.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
15.10.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-1 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS

Perth Glory 0-4 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-4
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.24 xG 2.29
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
280 Passes 615
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
16 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets ran out comfortable winners over Perth Glory 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Jets found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Perth Glory had 35% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 65%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.24 to 2.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Perth Glory and 2.00 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Perth Glory 0-4 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 36%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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