Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 14 Dec 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
2-2 HT 2-2
Brisbane Roar
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
3%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
11%
9.54
X/X
13%
6.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
20.4
2/2
7%
6.32
2/X
3%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 17% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.0pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.56/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.61
+2% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
17.5 Crosses 18.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.38 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
409 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
01.12.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 2-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
16.09.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 4-2 HT 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUK
23.12.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.10.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
13.05.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUK

Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Brisbane Roar
0.71 xG 0.43
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
526 Passes 221
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers and Brisbane Roar shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Western Sydney Wanderers at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 67% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 33%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.71 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 2.17 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar?

Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 57%, draw 19%, Brisbane Roar 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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