Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.19
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.21
X/2
10%
5.51
X/X
20%
4.45
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
21%
3.47
2/X
5%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +24%
1.52/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.36
-2% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.0 Crosses 12.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
398 Passes 426
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-3 HT 0-2 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
06.04.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
06.02.2024 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
24.02.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
22.01.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 2-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
16.10.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix
0-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.76 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
457 Passes 391
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 53% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 47%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.76 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 1.00 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?

Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 30%, draw 32%, Central Coast Mariners 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUS More Australia - A-League
25 Jan 2025
09:00 Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory Analysis →
11:35 Macarthur vs Melbourne City Analysis →