Central Coast Mariners 0-3 Wellington Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Nov 2024

Central Coast Mariners
0-3 HT 0-2
Wellington Phoenix
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.07
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.41
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.12
X/2
15%
5.96
X/X
12%
4.35
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
4.23
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
1.70/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.31
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.1 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
410 Passes 403
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
06.02.2024 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
24.02.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
22.01.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 2-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
16.10.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
17.04.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 0-4 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 0-3 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
0-3
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
1.10 xG 1.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
440 Passes 373
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix ran out comfortable winners over Central Coast Mariners 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Wellington Phoenix found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 53% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 47%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.10 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.00 for Wellington Phoenix.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix?

Central Coast Mariners 0-3 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 39%, draw 29%, Wellington Phoenix 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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