Perth Glory 0-5 Melbourne City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.94
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
13%
6.1
X/2
11%
5.34
X/X
9%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.28
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.57/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.54
+26% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
22.8 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Melbourne City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.45 xG 2.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 483
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 5-4 HT 1-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUK
14.04.2024 Melbourne City Melbourne City 8-0 HT 5-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
02.02.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 4-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
08.12.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
11.02.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-4 HT 1-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
05.11.2022 Melbourne City Melbourne City 4-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-5
AWAY Melbourne City
0.30 xG 2.44
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
258 Passes 513
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 35
5 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Melbourne City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City swept aside Perth Glory 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Melbourne City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory had 37% of the ball to Melbourne City's 63%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.30 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Perth Glory and 4.00 for Melbourne City.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?

Perth Glory 0-5 Melbourne City in the Australia - A-League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 37%, draw 25%, Melbourne City 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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