Sydney 1-2 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Nov 2024

Sydney
1-2 HT 0-0
Macarthur
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Sydney vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.44
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
21%
4.42
X/2
12%
9.09
X/X
8%
6.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.0
2/2
7%
5.9
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.96/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.16
-10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
19.7 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sydney vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Macarthur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.77 xG 1.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
496 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Sydney Sydney 4-0 HT 1-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
20.04.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
09.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-2 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
24.12.2022 Sydney Sydney 0-3 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
29.10.2022 Macarthur Macarthur 2-3 HT 1-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
30.03.2022 Sydney Sydney 2-2 HT 1-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS

Sydney 1-2 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
1-2
AWAY Macarthur
1.07 xG 1.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
522 Passes 297
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macarthur edged past Sydney 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sydney had 62% of the ball to Macarthur's 38%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.07 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macarthur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sydney and 1.67 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Macarthur?

Sydney 1-2 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sydney 51%, draw 23%, Macarthur 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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