Bryne 0-3 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.14
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1
13%
5.62
X/2
11%
6.83
X/X
8%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.55
2/2
20%
4.26
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bryne EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 36%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.24/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.47
+67% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.3 Crosses 20.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bryne
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
404 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 1-1 Bryne Bryne NOR
16.09.2012 Bryne Bryne 4-3 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR1
30.06.2012 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-2 HT 2-2 Bryne Bryne NOR1
05.09.2010 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-0 HT 0-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
02.05.2010 Bryne Bryne 3-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR1
26.07.2009 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-3 HT 2-2 Bryne Bryne NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bryne
0-3
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.13 xG 2.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
413 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Box Touches 31
41 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bryne vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 ran out comfortable winners over Bryne 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Sarpsborg 08 made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Bryne had 57% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 43%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.13 to 2.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bryne had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bryne and 1.50 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Bryne vs Sarpsborg 08?

Bryne 0-3 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bryne vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bryne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bryne 38%, draw 24%, Sarpsborg 08 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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