Fredrikstad 0-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.0
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
9%
11.85
X/2
14%
4.24
X/X
10%
6.74
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
34%
1.88
2/X
7%
15.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 66%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.24
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
15.7 Crosses 23.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viking
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 392
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 Viking Viking 3-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
22.09.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-2 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
21.04.2024 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
07.06.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOK
12.08.2012 Viking Viking 3-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
29.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-0 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
0-1
AWAY Viking
0.60 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
290 Passes 401
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking edged past Fredrikstad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 43% of the ball to Viking's 57%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.60 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.83 for Viking.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Viking?

Fredrikstad 0-1 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 21%, draw 23%, Viking 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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