Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Bryne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.29
Over 2.5
65%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.32
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.67
X/2
9%
8.89
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1
6%
20.55
2/2
9%
6.2
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
40%
-4.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
60%
+4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bryne EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.88/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.74
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
24.7 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bryne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.09.2012 Bryne Bryne 4-3 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR1
30.06.2012 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-2 HT 2-2 Bryne Bryne NOR1
05.09.2010 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-0 HT 0-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
02.05.2010 Bryne Bryne 3-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR1
26.07.2009 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-3 HT 2-2 Bryne Bryne NOR1
05.04.2009 Bryne Bryne 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1-1
AWAY Bryne
0.71 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
415 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Bryne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 and Bryne shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sarpsborg 08 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 51% of the ball to Bryne's 49%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.71 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bryne led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.00 for Bryne.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Bryne?

Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Bryne in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Bryne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 55%, draw 21%, Bryne 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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