HamKam 1-3 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Jun 2025

HamKam
1-3 HT 0-2
Tromsö
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

HamKam vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
25.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.07
X/2
17%
5.05
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
17%
2.97
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.90
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.4 Crosses 12.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

HamKam vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tromsö
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 Passes 439
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-3 HT 1-2 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.07.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.03.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam HAZ
17.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
13.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
06.11.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

HamKam 1-3 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-3
AWAY Tromsö
0.49 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
400 Passes 339
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö saw off HamKam 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, HamKam had 54% of the ball to Tromsö's 46%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.49 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HamKam and 1.50 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Tromsö?

HamKam 1-3 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HamKam 32%, draw 24%, Tromsö 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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