Sandefjord 4-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.64
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
17%
4.07
X/2
6%
15.5
X/X
10%
7.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.0
2/2
5%
12.1
2/X
7%
20.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.44/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.67
-49% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.8 Crosses 15.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haugesund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.31 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
310 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 4-3 HT 3-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
26.05.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.06.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 3-2 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
13.11.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 0-2 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
03.04.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-3 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
4-0
AWAY Haugesund
1.30 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
391 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord swept aside Haugesund 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sandefjord as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sandefjord had 48% of the ball to Haugesund's 52%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.30 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sandefjord and 1.83 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Haugesund?

Sandefjord 4-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 61%, draw 22%, Haugesund 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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