Kristiansund BK 4-1 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.72
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
22.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
14%
7.22
X/2
17%
5.18
X/X
10%
5.65
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
17%
2.83
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.0 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.48/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.29
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
18.7 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.00 xG 2.79
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
225 Passes 455
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 42
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
01.12.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-4 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
26.05.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
14.03.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-2 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK HAZ
02.10.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 4-4 HT 3-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
25.06.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
4-1
AWAY Rosenborg
3.50 xG 0.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
385 Passes 403
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
42 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK swept aside Rosenborg 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rosenborg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 48% of the ball to Rosenborg's 52%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 3.50 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kristiansund BK and 2.67 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

Kristiansund BK 4-1 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 28%, draw 24%, Rosenborg 47%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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