Valerenga 2-3 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Jun 2025

Valerenga
2-3 HT 2-1
Molde
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Valerenga vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 31% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.17
1/2
6%
23.75
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
10%
6.51
X/2
11%
5.52
X/X
17%
5.33
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.23
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valerenga v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.48/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.14
+12% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
19.8 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Valerenga vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Molde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 2.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
356 Passes 437
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Molde Molde 0-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
15.07.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 0-4 HT 0-3 Molde Molde NOR
13.11.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
02.04.2022 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
19.09.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
27.05.2021 Molde Molde 2-3 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR

Valerenga 2-3 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
2-3
AWAY Molde
1.24 xG 2.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
293 Passes 423
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde nicked a narrow win over Valerenga 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Molde found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga had 42% of the ball to Molde's 58%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.24 to 2.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Molde's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valerenga and 1.67 for Molde.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Molde?

Valerenga 2-3 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 30%, draw 31%, Molde 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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