Cienciano 2-1 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +16%
1.42/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.60
+19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.5 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
236 Passes 219
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2025 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
30.07.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
05.03.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 3-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
22.10.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
24.04.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
29.02.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 1-4 HT 1-1 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
2-1
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.61 xG 0.68
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
361 Passes 118
84% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano edged past Ayacucho FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cienciano had 68% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 32%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.61 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cienciano and 1.33 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Ayacucho FC?

Cienciano 2-1 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 66%, draw 21%, Ayacucho FC 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
23 Nov 2025
23:00 Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC Analysis →
23:00 Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT Analysis →
23:00 Alianza Universidad vs Juan Pablo II College Analysis →
23:00 Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Analysis →