Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
Alianza Lima 3-0 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima cruised past UTC Cajamarca 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 47% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 53%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.76 to 1.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.17 for UTC Cajamarca.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima 3-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 73%, draw 16%, UTC Cajamarca 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.