Pogon Siedlce 0-0 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.94
Away Pick
61%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.18
Over
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.72
No
48%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.1
2-3
40%
1.84
4-5
22%
2.89
6+
11%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.1 — our 27% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow The Market 64%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.60/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.94
+53% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
245 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2025 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
05.10.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-3 HT 1-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0-0
AWAY Wisla Krakow
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla Krakow
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

neither Pogon Siedlce nor Wisla Krakow could break the deadlock in a goalless afternoon. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wisla Krakow at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. At 1.62 (~62%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 41% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 59%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wisla Krakow led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 2.00 for Wisla Krakow.

Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla Krakow Result & Final Score

Pogon Siedlce 0-0 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla Krakow Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 18%, draw 21%, Wisla Krakow 61%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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