Lech Poznan 4-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.18
Over Pick
59%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.15
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
28%
2.87
6+
8%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.3
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
8%
8.9
X/X
13%
5.84
2/1
3%
21.1
2/2
12%
6.45
2/X
5%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 3% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lech Poznan The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom The Market 27%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.89 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-2 HT 0-2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
26.10.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
16.12.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
30.07.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
24.04.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
09.10.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
4 - 1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
3.11 xG 1.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lech Poznan overpowered Radomiak Radom 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Lech Poznan had 53% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 47%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 3.11 to 1.85.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.00 for Radomiak Radom.

Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom Result & Final Score

Lech Poznan 4 - 1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 55%, draw 23%, Radomiak Radom 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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