Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.2pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.88/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.10
-31% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.2 Crosses 18.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 0.66
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 515
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
22.11.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
22.12.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
14.08.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.06 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
209 Passes 317
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud and Al Shabab Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 43% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 57%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.06 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Akhdoud and 0.50 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 32%, draw 23%, Al Shabab Riyadh 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
23 Nov 2025
20:30 Al Taawon vs Neom SC Analysis →
20:30 Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej Analysis →