Al Nassr 4-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.38
2-3 Goals
39%
2.37
4-5 Goals
26%
2.29
6+ Goals
16%
3.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
79%
-5.0pp
17%
Draw
12%
+4.8pp
9%
Away Win
9%
+0.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.40/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.99
+9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
512 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.4 Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.21 xG 0.99
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
533 Passes 259
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
21.01.2025 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
01.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SAKK
27.04.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
08.05.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
4-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.93 xG 1.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
332 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr cruised past Al Khaleej 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 55% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 45%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.93 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nassr and 0.50 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej?

Al Nassr 4-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 74%, draw 17%, Al Khaleej 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
23 Nov 2025
18:05 Al Akhdoud vs Al Shabab Riyadh Analysis →
20:30 Al Taawon vs Neom SC Analysis →