Al Nassr 2-0 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
11.05
2-3 Goals
35%
2.71
4-5 Goals
31%
2.24
6+ Goals
15%
2.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-13.4pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.0pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.31/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.98
+1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 79%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.8 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.78 xG 1.04
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
542 Passes 253
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
01.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SAKK
27.04.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
08.05.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
31.12.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-0
AWAY Al Khaleej
3.33 xG 0.90
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
525 Passes 252
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Al Khaleej 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Nassr had 66% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 34%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 3.33 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Nassr and 0.50 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej?

Al Nassr 2-0 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 67%, draw 17%, Al Khaleej 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
21 May 2025
19:25 Al Kholood vs Al Fayha Analysis →
21:00 Al Wehda vs Al Hilal Riyadh Analysis →