Al Wehda 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.14
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.58
2-3 Goals
36%
2.28
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
15%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-13.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.09/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.90
+21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 85%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
12.7 Crosses 21.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.91 xG 2.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
248 Passes 540
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
15.12.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
12.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
02.03.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-3 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.09.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.69 xG 1.23
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
214 Passes 456
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda and Al Hilal Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Hilal Riyadh at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Al Wehda had 35% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 65%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.69 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wehda and 2.50 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Wehda 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 21%, draw 23%, Al Hilal Riyadh 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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