Stade Tunisien 4-0 Gabes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

Stade Tunisien
4-0 HT 0-0
Gabes
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Stade Tunisien vs Gabes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
3.59
No
66%
1.24
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
13%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.22 — our 37% vs market 37.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
24%
+10.6pp
66%
BTTS No
76%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Tunisien v Gabes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabes EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.31/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.82
-13% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.6

Stade Tunisien vs Gabes Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gabes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 HT 1-0 Gabes Gabes TUN1
05.04.2015 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 HT 2-0 Gabes Gabes TUN1
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien ran out comfortable winners over Gabes 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stade Tunisien as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stade Tunisien had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stade Tunisien and 1.00 for Gabes.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs Gabes?

Stade Tunisien 4-0 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs Gabes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 66%, draw 23%, Gabes 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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