Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
13%
7.15
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.89/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.75
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
26.01.2025 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
15.06.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 HT 1-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
13.04.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
27.05.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 1-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
01.03.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien edged past Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; CS Sfaxien found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.67 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 37%, draw 32%, CS Sfaxien 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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