CSMS Iaşi 0-2 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 67%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.40/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.89
+69% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
13.9 Crosses 24.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FCSB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 0.76
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
191 Passes 453
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 FCSB FCSB 0-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
19.12.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-3 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
20.08.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
30.01.2021 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.12.2019 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
25.11.2018 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-2 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
0-2
AWAY FCSB
0.37 xG 2.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
259 Passes 364
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 47
2 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB beat CSMS Iaşi 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 43% of the ball to FCSB's 57%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.37 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 2.00 for FCSB.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs FCSB?

CSMS Iaşi 0-2 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 21%, draw 23%, FCSB 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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