UTA Arad 2-0 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.26/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.84
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
25.3 Crosses 28.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botosani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.71 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
05.04.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
12.02.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
23.09.2023 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
14.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-2 HT 0-2 Botosani Botosani ROM
11.02.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 3-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
2-0
AWAY Botosani
1.53 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
263 Passes 409
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad saw off Botosani 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UTA Arad as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTA Arad had 42% of the ball to Botosani's 58%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.53 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTA Arad and 1.33 for Botosani.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Botosani?

UTA Arad 2-0 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 42%, draw 29%, Botosani 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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