Roma (K) 2-2 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over Pick
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.28 xG 2.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 36
24 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2023 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 2-2 HT 2-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
2-2
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.40 xG 1.63
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
224 Passes 458
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) and Bayern München (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roma (K) had 37% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 63%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.40 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Roma (K) 2-2 Bayern München (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 34%, draw 28%, Bayern München (K) 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
24 Jan 2024
20:45 Hacken (K) vs Paris (K) Analysis →
23:00 PSG (K) vs Ajax (K) Analysis →
23:00 Chelsea (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Analysis →