Güney Afrika 0-0 Tunus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.4
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
6.78
X/2
13%
4.36
X/X
11%
4.11
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
15%
2.92
2/X
10%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 6.78 — our 17% vs market 10.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-10.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunus EU Bookmakers 49%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.08/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.84
-72% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
6.0 Crosses 13.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Afrika
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tunus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
27.01.2008 Tunus Tunus 3-1 HT 3-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
26.01.2006 Tunus Tunus 2-0 HT 1-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
0-0
AWAY Tunus
0.64 xG 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 29
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Tunus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika and Tunus played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 45% of the ball to Tunus's 55%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.64 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tunus led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Güney Afrika and 2.50 for Tunus.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Tunus?

Güney Afrika 0-0 Tunus in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Tunus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 37%, draw 29%, Tunus 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Güney Afrika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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