Namibya 0-0 Mali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 24 Jan 2024

Namibya
0-0 HT 0-0
Mali
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2023

Namibya vs Mali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
6%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 38% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.89
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
4%
17.75
X/1
7%
11.15
X/2
24%
3.61
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.05
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Namibya v Mali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Namibya EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Mali EU Bookmakers 62%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.69
+94% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
19.0 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Namibya vs Mali Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Namibya
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mali
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
The Meetings
17.11.2020 Namibya Namibya 1-2 HT 1-2 Mali Mali AFUK
13.11.2020 Mali Mali 1-0 HT 1-0 Namibya Namibya AFUK

Namibya 0-0 Mali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Namibya
0-0
AWAY Mali
0.65 xG 0.84
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
124 Passes 372
61% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Namibya vs Mali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Namibya and Mali played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mali at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Namibya had 33% of the ball to Mali's 67%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mali led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Namibya and 1.50 for Mali.

What was the final score of Namibya vs Mali?

Namibya 0-0 Mali in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Namibya vs Mali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Namibya 21%, draw 27%, Mali 52%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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