Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.71
Over
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.78
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
18%
3.91
6+
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.51
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.37
X/2
10%
6.22
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
11%
4.43
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.1pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna The Market 34%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.12/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.09
+7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
15.4 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osasuna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.28
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
421 Passes 254
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
25.02.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
11.11.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
25.05.2019 Osasuna Osasuna 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
12.01.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-1 HT 3-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS2
05.03.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 5-2 HT 1-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
0.79 xG 2.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
321 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Osasuna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Las Palmas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Las Palmas had 51% of the ball to Osasuna's 49%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 0.79 to 2.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Las Palmas and 1.50 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Osasuna?

Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 45%, draw 28%, Osasuna 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Palmas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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