FeralpiSalo 1-2 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.67
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.53
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
21%
4.14
6+
9%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese The Market 16%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.47/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.70
-16% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Pergolettese
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-2 HT 0-2 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
21.01.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
17.09.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
02.04.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
27.11.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 6-0 HT 4-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-2
AWAY Pergolettese
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese edged past FeralpiSalo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was FeralpiSalo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 64% of the ball to Pergolettese's 36%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.60 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Pergolettese?

FeralpiSalo 1-2 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 54%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
24 Jan 2025
22:30 Lucchese vs Ascoli Analysis →
22:30 Sestri Levante vs Legnago Salus Analysis →