Shamakhi 1-2 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.8pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.73/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.31
-33% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 2-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
02.11.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-2 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
25.08.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.05.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
03.03.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
13.12.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Shamakhi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shamakhi and 1.67 for Zira.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Zira?

Shamakhi 1-2 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 22%, draw 29%, Zira 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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