Zira 3-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

Zira
3-1 HT 2-1
Shamakhi
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2024/2025

Zira vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zira v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 19%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.21/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/6.00
-15% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Zira vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-2 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
25.08.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.05.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
03.03.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
13.12.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
07.10.2022 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira got the better of Shamakhi 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zira and 0.50 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Zira vs Shamakhi?

Zira 3-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zira 57%, draw 22%, Shamakhi 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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