Qabala 0-2 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

Qabala
0-2 HT 0-1
Karabağ
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2024/2025

Qabala vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
12.23
Draw
30%
5.71
Away
49%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
6%
+14.9pp
30%
Draw
15%
+15.3pp
49%
Away Win
80%
-30.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 84%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.77/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.88
-9% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
86 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 52%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Qabala vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Karabağ
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-4 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
04.12.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
25.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
08.05.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.03.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-3 HT 1-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
19.12.2022 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ saw off Qabala 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Qabala and 2.50 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Karabağ?

Qabala 0-2 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Qabala 21%, draw 30%, Karabağ 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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