Neftçi PFK 6-0 Difai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.67
No
54%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
84%
-16.1pp
14%
Draw
8%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
33%
+13.1pp
54%
BTTS No
67%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Difai EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+63% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
502 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Difai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK cruised past Difai 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Difai?

Neftçi PFK 6-0 Difai in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Difai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 68%, draw 14%, Difai 17%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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