Sumqayıt 3-1 MOIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

Sumqayıt
3-1 HT 1-0
MOIK
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2024/2025

Sumqayıt vs MOIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.3pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v MOIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY MOIK EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.80/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs MOIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt saw off MOIK 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sumqayıt as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs MOIK?

Sumqayıt 3-1 MOIK in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs MOIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 63%, draw 18%, MOIK 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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