East Bengal 2-1 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 24 Jan 2025

East Bengal
2-1 HT 1-0
Kerala Blasters
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
India - Super League – 2024/2025

East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.15
Over Pick
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.06
2-3
37%
1.82
4-5
27%
2.84
6+
14%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.17/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.92
-1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
15.6 Crosses 19.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.45 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
03.04.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-4 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
04.11.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
03.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
07.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
14.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL

East Bengal 2-1 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
2-1
AWAY Kerala Blasters
0.84 xG 0.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
222 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal squeezed past Kerala Blasters 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 38% — and on the day East Bengal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, East Bengal had 45% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 55%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.84 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for East Bengal and 1.67 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters?

East Bengal 2-1 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 39%, draw 22%, Kerala Blasters 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Bengal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (East Bengal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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