Heracles 1-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Jan 2025

Heracles
1-1 HT 0-0
Utrecht
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heracles vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.68
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.33
1/2
7%
22.1
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
8%
8.5
X/2
14%
4.51
X/X
14%
5.2
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.39
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.28/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.23
+17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
21.6 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Heracles vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Utrecht
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 2.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
325 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
23.02.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
16.09.2023 Heracles Heracles 1-3 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
11.02.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
28.11.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
16.01.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL

Heracles 1-1 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
1-1
AWAY Utrecht
1.39 xG 1.05
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
274 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles and Utrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Heracles had 42% of the ball to Utrecht's 58%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.39 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Heracles and 1.33 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Utrecht?

Heracles 1-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Heracles 27%, draw 30%, Utrecht 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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