Chelsea U21 0-2 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-16.3pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Southampton U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.31 xG 1.13
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
306 Passes 540
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 2-0 HT 2-0 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
0-2
AWAY Southampton U21
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 2
313 Passes 373
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 beat Chelsea U21 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U21 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 46% of the ball to Southampton U21's 54%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21?

Chelsea U21 0-2 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 50%, draw 22%, Southampton U21 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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