Al Wakrah 4-3 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.26/2.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.62
-26% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 83%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
25.4 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Arabi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
274 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
05.04.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-4 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
25.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
08.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
29.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
12.01.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wakrah nicked a narrow win over Al Arabi 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Wakrah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Wakrah and 2.00 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Arabi?

Al Wakrah 4-3 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 38%, draw 27%, Al Arabi 35%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wakrah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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