Al Shamal 4-0 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.63
6+ Goals
14%
6.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 27%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.13
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
Crosses 12.7
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.24 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
304 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
16.08.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
05.03.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-4 HT 0-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
27.12.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
29.09.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
03.05.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
4-0
AWAY Umm Salal
4.20 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
426 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal swept aside Umm Salal 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shamal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shamal had 56% of the ball to Umm Salal's 44%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 4.20 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Shamal and 2.17 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?

Al Shamal 4-0 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 45%, draw 27%, Umm Salal 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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