Umm Salal 1-2 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 31 Aug 2024

Umm Salal
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Shamal
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup – 2024/2025

Umm Salal vs Al Shamal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 28% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umm Salal v Al Shamal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 33%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.92/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.47
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.8 Crosses 12.0
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Umm Salal vs Al Shamal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Shamal
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
256 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
05.03.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-4 HT 0-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
27.12.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
29.09.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
03.05.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
13.03.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal nicked a narrow win over Umm Salal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Umm Salal at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Umm Salal and 1.33 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?

Umm Salal 1-2 Al Shamal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 42%, draw 24%, Al Shamal 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umm Salal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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