Ümraniyespor 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.91
Over
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.53
2-3
40%
1.83
4-5
21%
3.44
6+
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
10%
9.24
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
9%
7.28
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor The Market 24%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
1.71/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.38
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.7 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
397 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
06.04.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
11.11.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.01.2017 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
21.08.2016 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1-0
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.61 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
422 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor nicked a narrow win over Şanlıurfaspor 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 58% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 42%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.61 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Şanlıurfaspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.00 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Ümraniyespor 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 47%, draw 28%, Şanlıurfaspor 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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