Samsunspor 2-1 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Jan 2025

Samsunspor
2-1 HT 1-0
Gaziantep FK
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Samsunspor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
8%
9.63
X/X
13%
5.41
2/1
7%
18.2
2/2
10%
7.4
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.1pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Samsunspor v Gaziantep FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.72/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.65
+16% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
15.6 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Samsunspor vs Gaziantep FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 243
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
29.09.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.01.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
13.08.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
11.03.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L

Samsunspor 2-1 Gaziantep FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-1
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.47 xG 0.87
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
416 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor nicked a narrow win over Gaziantep FK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samsunspor had 61% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 39%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.47 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Samsunspor and 1.00 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Samsunspor 2-1 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 51%, draw 26%, Gaziantep FK 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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