Gaziantep FK 0-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

Gaziantep FK
0-1 HT 0-1
Samsunspor
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.45
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
9%
5.96
X/2
10%
4.99
X/X
11%
4.0
2/1
12%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.46
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -38%
1.26/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.02
+28% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.4 Crosses 21.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.35 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
218 Passes 397
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
29.09.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.01.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
13.08.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
11.03.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
16.10.2016 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L

Gaziantep FK 0-1 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
0-1
AWAY Samsunspor
1.14 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
294 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor nicked a narrow win over Gaziantep FK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Samsunspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 48% of the ball to Samsunspor's 52%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.14 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gaziantep FK and 0.33 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?

Gaziantep FK 0-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 38%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gaziantep FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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