Beşiktaş 4-2 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.67
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.1
X/1
17%
3.44
X/2
8%
15.2
X/X
10%
6.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
2/2
8%
12.45
2/X
5%
20.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.83/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.09
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.1 Crosses 13.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 0.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
413 Passes 241
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
08.02.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TÜK
05.11.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.05.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
26.02.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
06.02.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
4-2
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.98 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
336 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş beat Antalyaspor 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 56% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.98 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.17 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor?

Beşiktaş 4-2 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 57%, draw 24%, Antalyaspor 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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